Tag: US-China rivalry
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Indonesia at the Crossroads 2026: Rupiah Crisis, Prabowo’s Power Architecture, Papua Conflict, and the Future of the Republic
Indonesia enters 2026 at a decisive historical moment where economic pressure, institutional transformation, security challenges, and geopolitical competition converge. This KBA13 National Update examines Indonesia beyond daily headlines by mapping deeper structural signals behind the rupiah’s pressure, fiscal vulnerabilities, governance challenges, corruption risks, and the transformation of national security institutions. The report explores the evolving…
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The Age of Compute Power: How AI, Semiconductor Geopolitics, and Chip Wars Are Reshaping Global Power
The twenty-first century is entering a new geopolitical era defined not only by military power, energy resources, or economic size, but by the capacity to compute intelligence at scale. Artificial intelligence has transformed from a technological product into the foundational infrastructure of global civilization. This essay introduces the concept of the Compute-Power Doctrine: the idea…
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Indonesia 2030: The Rise of the Archipelagic State in the Indo-Pacific Order (A Strategic Assessment for Policymakers and Intelligence Analysts)
Indonesia enters the 2030s as one of the most consequential powers in the Indo-Pacific. With its vast archipelagic geography, strategic maritime chokepoints, critical mineral reserves, demographic strength, and growing diplomatic confidence, Indonesia is no longer a peripheral actor in global affairs. This essay examines Indonesia’s rise through maritime sovereignty, the Natuna Sea, military modernization, intelligence…
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Has China Won? Kishore Mahbubani on America’s Strategic Dilemma in the 21st Century
Kishore Mahbubani’s Has China Won? opens with a bold provocation: can America truly lose to China? Drawing lessons from history, Mahbubani argues that the United States risks misreading China by framing it as merely a communist adversary, rather than a civilization-state playing the long game of wei qi. With American soft power in decline and…