Tag: geopolitics
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KBA13 Insight Update Internaional: Iran War, Trump-Xi Summit, Ukraine Ceasefire, Taiwan Risk, and the Collapse of Strategic Order
The week of May 19, 2026 marks a decisive moment in global strategic disorder. From the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz to the fragile US-Iran ceasefire, from the Trump-Xi Beijing summit to the collapse of the Ukraine ceasefire, every crisis points to one structural reality: American power is being tested simultaneously across multiple…
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The Beijing Variable: A Geopolitical Analysis of US-China Relations After the Trump-Xi Summit, May 2026
The May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing was not merely a diplomatic encounter. It was a strategic test of power, leverage, and necessity between the world’s two most consequential states. Behind the ceremonial warmth lay unresolved tensions over Taiwan, Iran, energy security, trade, technology, Russia, Japan, Europe, and the future of global order. This essay…
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Five Books to Understand the Geopolitical System: Power, Empire, Diplomacy, Pandemic, and the Return of History
This essay examines five important books that help readers understand the geopolitical system through history, power, diplomacy, disease, empire, and trade routes. From Henry Every’s piracy and the rise of global capitalism to Vladimir Putin’s strategic worldview, from Ukraine’s diplomatic struggle to the Covid-19 pandemic and the Silk Roads, these books reveal that geopolitics is…
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China’s Economic Statecraft in ASEAN: Trade, BRI, and Strategic Leverage
China’s economic engagement with ASEAN has evolved into a sophisticated system of strategic leverage. Trade dominance, infrastructure expansion through the Belt and Road Initiative, currency maneuvering, and diaspora networks collectively form Beijing’s economic statecraft toolkit. While ASEAN benefits from market access and infrastructure financing, structural asymmetry creates vulnerabilities. This article examines the geopolitical implications of…
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Militer dalam Demokrasi Rapuh, Pakta Saudi–Pakistan, dan Tiga Sumbu Baru Persaingan Global | KBA13 Insight
Geopolitik global sedang memasuki babak baru. Peran militer kian ambivalen dalam demokrasi yang melemah, sementara pakta pertahanan Saudi–Pakistan mengubah kalkulasi keamanan regional dengan ambiguitas payung nuklir. Di saat yang sama, transisi energi, stok bahan baku kritis, dan perdagangan digital menjadi tiga sumbu baru persaingan global. Analisis KBA13 Insight ini membongkar dinamika deterensi, aliansi strategis, serta…
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Has China Won? Kishore Mahbubani on America’s Strategic Dilemma in the 21st Century
Kishore Mahbubani’s Has China Won? opens with a bold provocation: can America truly lose to China? Drawing lessons from history, Mahbubani argues that the United States risks misreading China by framing it as merely a communist adversary, rather than a civilization-state playing the long game of wei qi. With American soft power in decline and…
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The Architect and the Figurant: Intelligence, National Interest, and the Grammar of Strategic Power
This essay examines intelligence as the hidden architecture of strategic power. It argues that intelligence is not merely a technical apparatus for collecting secrets, but the sovereign mechanism through which a state defines national interest, reads threats, anticipates crises, and shapes geopolitical reality. Through the cases of the United States, China, Russia, Israel, Singapore, and…
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Artificial Intelligence and the World Order of 2040: A Strategic Essay on AI, Extraterrestrial Intelligence, and the Future of Humanity
This essay examines the possibility that Artificial Intelligence may become the central force shaping a new world order by 2040. It explores the strategic intersection between machine intelligence, extraterrestrial intelligence, planetary governance, religion, surveillance, sovereignty, and human freedom. Rather than treating AI as a mere technological tool, this article frames AI as a civilizational actor…
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Sultan Iskandar Muda and the Architecture of Power: A Strategic Analysis of Aceh through Denys Lombard
This article offers a deep analytical exploration of Sultan Iskandar Muda’s rule over the Aceh Darussalam Kingdom through the lens of Denys Lombard’s historical framework. Drawing from both local manuscripts and foreign accounts, the study reveals how Aceh emerged as a dominant maritime, economic, and intellectual power in Southeast Asia. The analysis focuses on governance…