Tag: Thailand
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Southeast Asia Strategic Intelligence Update July 2026: Indonesia, Myanmar, South China Sea, and ASEAN Under Pressure
Southeast Asia enters the second half of 2026 under the weight of overlapping geopolitical and economic pressures. Negotiations over the South China Sea Code of Conduct remain stalled despite Philippine efforts to accelerate an agreement before the end of its ASEAN chairmanship. Myanmar’s military-led political transition has formalized without ending the country’s civil war, while…
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Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: Hormuz Crisis, ASEAN Security Shift, China-US Rivalry, and the Future of Regional Order
Southeast Asia enters mid-2026 facing one of the most complex strategic environments in recent decades. The region is simultaneously managing the impact of the Strait of Hormuz energy crisis, intensifying US-China strategic competition, unresolved South China Sea tensions, and Myanmar’s prolonged internal conflict. This KBA13 Insight Update examines how ASEAN states are responding through a…
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Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: ASEAN, Indonesia, Myanmar, and South China Sea Tensions
Southeast Asia enters late May 2026 under mounting geopolitical and economic pressure. ASEAN faces simultaneous crises involving energy security, Myanmar’s civil war, South China Sea tensions, and growing uncertainty in global trade architecture. Indonesia’s new state-controlled commodity export policy has shaken investor confidence, while the Philippines struggles with an escalating constitutional crisis involving the Duterte…
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ASEAN di Bawah Tekanan Tarif Trump: Dari Perang Dagang ke Perang Pengaruh
Kebijakan tarif resiprokal Donald Trump pada 2025 telah mengubah lanskap geopolitik Asia Tenggara. ASEAN yang selama ini menjadi pusat manufaktur global dan jalur utama strategi China Plus One tiba-tiba menghadapi tekanan besar dari Amerika Serikat. Tarif tinggi terhadap Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, Kamboja, Laos, dan Myanmar menunjukkan bahwa perdagangan tidak lagi berdiri sebagai urusan ekonomi…