Tag: Prabowo Subianto
-
The Purbaya Episode: Technocracy, Digital Visibility, and Indonesia’s Unsettled Road to 2029
The sudden removal of Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa from Indonesia’s Ministry of Finance was more than a cabinet reshuffle. This KBA13 Insight strategic assessment reconstructs Purbaya’s policies, bureaucratic conflicts, digital rise, and post-dismissal popularity before placing the episode within Indonesia’s emerging political landscape toward 2029. It examines tensions surrounding fiscal authority, Danantara, taxation, customs reform, Bank…
-
Dari Goro-Goro ke Huru-Hara: Audit Prediksi KBA13 tentang Indonesia Menuju 2030
KBA13 Insight mengaudit prediksi strategis tentang Indonesia menuju 2030 dengan membandingkan National Integrity Warning Calendar terhadap peristiwa aktual sepanjang Januari–September 2026. Kajian ini menilai Goro-Goro dan risiko Huru-Hara melalui dinamika politik, korupsi, konflik elite, tekanan ekonomi, bencana alam, mobilisasi sosial, serta perubahan arsitektur kekuasaan. Dari 26 prediksi yang diuji, sebagian terbukti kuat, sebagian terbukti secara…
-
Southeast Asia Intelligence Brief: ASEAN, Myanmar & South China Sea
KBA13 Insight’s weekly intelligence briefing assesses Southeast Asia’s strategic landscape for 25–31 August 2026. This edition examines ASEAN institutional dynamics, Myanmar’s intensifying civil war, political turbulence in the Philippines, Indonesia’s economic and strategic trajectory, rising South China Sea tensions, the fragile Thailand-Cambodia ceasefire, and the region’s evolving economic outlook. It also identifies critical indicators to…
-
Sejarah Korupsi di Indonesia: Dari Reformasi 1998 hingga Era Prabowo Subianto
Kajian strategis KBA13 Insight menelusuri sejarah korupsi Indonesia sejak Reformasi 1998 — kelahiran dan pelemahan KPK, skandal Century hingga Timah, Firli Bahuri, Harun Masiku — sampai skandal Makan Bergizi Gratis di era Prabowo Subianto pada 2026.
-
Jokowi’s Political Network After the Presidency: Power, Succession, and the Road to 2029
Jokowi no longer controls the presidency, but his influence persists through Gibran, PSI, volunteer organisations, former officials, regional elites, and cross-party alliances. This strategic analysis maps the strengths, vulnerabilities, and 2029 scenarios of Indonesia’s most consequential post-presidential political network.
-
Indonesia Strategic Intelligence Report: Institutional Crisis, the Rupiah at Rp18,129, and National Security Dynamics (13–18 July 2026)
A weekly KBA13 Insight report offering a strategic intelligence assessment of Indonesia’s political, economic, national-security, civil-liberties, Papua, defense, and geopolitical developments during 13–18 July 2026.
-
Indonesia Strategic Intelligence Report (7–12 July 2026): Political Crisis, Papua Conflict, BrahMos Deal, Economy, and National Security
Indonesia Strategic Intelligence Report (7–12 July 2026) presents a field-grade assessment of the most significant developments affecting Indonesia’s political stability, national security, defense modernization, economic resilience, and geopolitical position. This edition examines the Febrie Adriansyah institutional crisis, the Papua conflict following the killing of a US pilot, the India–Indonesia BrahMos defense agreement, mounting economic pressures,…
-
Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: Hormuz Crisis, ASEAN Security Shift, China-US Rivalry, and the Future of Regional Order
Southeast Asia enters mid-2026 facing one of the most complex strategic environments in recent decades. The region is simultaneously managing the impact of the Strait of Hormuz energy crisis, intensifying US-China strategic competition, unresolved South China Sea tensions, and Myanmar’s prolonged internal conflict. This KBA13 Insight Update examines how ASEAN states are responding through a…
-
August 2026: A Prediction of Indonesia’s Political Crisis — Goro-Goro, Huru-Hara, and the Future of Governance
August has always held a special place in the course of Indonesia’s political history. From the birth of the Republic in 1945 to the various moments of social-political change after the Reform, this month has often become the space in which the state faces the test of legitimacy and the direction of its future. This…