Tag: Prabowo Subianto
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Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: Hormuz Crisis, ASEAN Security Shift, China-US Rivalry, and the Future of Regional Order
Southeast Asia enters mid-2026 facing one of the most complex strategic environments in recent decades. The region is simultaneously managing the impact of the Strait of Hormuz energy crisis, intensifying US-China strategic competition, unresolved South China Sea tensions, and Myanmar’s prolonged internal conflict. This KBA13 Insight Update examines how ASEAN states are responding through a…
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Agustus 2026: Prediksi Krisis Politik Indonesia, Goro-Goro, Huru-Hara, dan Masa Depan Pemerintahan
Agustus selalu memiliki tempat khusus dalam perjalanan sejarah politik Indonesia. Dari lahirnya Republik pada 1945 hingga berbagai momentum perubahan sosial-politik setelah Reformasi, bulan ini sering menjadi ruang tempat negara menghadapi ujian legitimasi dan arah masa depan. Artikel KBA13 Insight ini menghadirkan analisis mendalam tentang prediksi krisis politik Indonesia 2026 dengan membaca hubungan antara tekanan ekonomi,…
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Indonesia at the Crossroads 2026: Rupiah Crisis, Prabowo’s Power Architecture, Papua Conflict, and the Future of the Republic
Indonesia enters 2026 at a decisive historical moment where economic pressure, institutional transformation, security challenges, and geopolitical competition converge. This KBA13 National Update examines Indonesia beyond daily headlines by mapping deeper structural signals behind the rupiah’s pressure, fiscal vulnerabilities, governance challenges, corruption risks, and the transformation of national security institutions. The report explores the evolving…
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Indonesia di Ambang Ujian Besar 2026: Krisis Rupiah, Konsolidasi Kekuasaan, Papua, dan Pertarungan Geopolitik Natuna
Indonesia memasuki fase paling menentukan pada 2026. Pelemahan rupiah menuju Rp18.000 per dolar AS, tekanan fiskal, skandal tata kelola program strategis, konflik Papua yang belum selesai, transformasi struktur keamanan, hingga meningkatnya rivalitas geopolitik di Laut Natuna Utara menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia tidak sedang menghadapi satu krisis tunggal. KBA13 National Update membaca situasi ini sebagai sebuah stress…
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Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: ASEAN, South China Sea Tensions, Prabowo’s Economic Doctrine, and the Future of Regional Order
Southeast Asia enters June 2026 at a critical strategic moment where political instability, maritime competition, economic nationalism, and digital transformation converge. This KBA13 Insight Strategic Weekly Brief examines the evolving regional landscape through an intelligence-driven perspective. The analysis explores ASEAN’s institutional challenges under the Philippine chairmanship, rising tensions in the South China Sea, Indonesia’s economic…
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Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: South China Sea, Indonesia’s Economy, Myanmar Crisis, and ASEAN Energy Security
Southeast Asia enters 2026 under layered strategic pressure. The Philippines and Japan are deepening defense cooperation as China’s gray-zone pressure persists in the South China Sea. Indonesia faces a difficult economic crossroads under Prabowo’s fiscal ambitions and the Danantara gamble. Myanmar’s civil war continues to escalate through aerial warfare and institutional collapse, while the Hormuz…
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Indonesia Strategic Outlook 2026: Rupiah Crisis, Danantara Risk, TNI Expansion, Papua Conflict, and Natuna Tensions
Indonesia enters the final week of May 2026 under compounding national pressures: a weakened rupiah, mounting concern over Danantara’s fiscal and governance risks, an expanding military role in domestic affairs, intensified conflict in Papua, and rising maritime tension around Natuna. This KBA13 National Update provides a strategic intelligence assessment of Indonesia’s political economy, defense posture,…
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KBA13 Insight Regional Update: Southeast Asia Under Pressure (Hormuz Shock, ASEAN Crisis, Myanmar, Indonesia, and the South China Sea in 2026)
Southeast Asia enters May 2026 under simultaneous strategic pressure: the Hormuz energy shock, ASEAN’s institutional fragility, Myanmar’s deepening crisis, the Philippines’ domestic political rupture, Indonesia’s multi-alignment gamble, and the unresolved confrontation in the South China Sea. This KBA13 Insight Update reads the region not as a collection of separate national crises, but as a single…
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PDI-P Pasca-Megawati: Suksesi, Kalkulus dengan Prabowo, dan Arsitektur Kekuasaan 2024–2029
Selama lebih dari dua dekade, PDI-P bertahan sebagai kekuatan dominan berkat warisan ideologis Sukarno, kendali Megawati atas organisasi, dan patronase pemerintahan Jokowi. Namun, Pemilu 2024 mengubah peta: pusat kekuasaan bergeser ke Presiden Prabowo Subianto, dan partai kehilangan posisi utama dalam koalisi. Artikel ini membedah dilema strategis PDI-P melalui empat lensa teoretis: oligarki, kelembagaan partai, patronase…