Tag: energy security
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Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: South China Sea, Indonesia’s Economy, Myanmar Crisis, and ASEAN Energy Security
Southeast Asia enters 2026 under layered strategic pressure. The Philippines and Japan are deepening defense cooperation as China’s gray-zone pressure persists in the South China Sea. Indonesia faces a difficult economic crossroads under Prabowo’s fiscal ambitions and the Danantara gamble. Myanmar’s civil war continues to escalate through aerial warfare and institutional collapse, while the Hormuz…
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Southeast Asia Strategic Outlook 2026: ASEAN, Indonesia, Myanmar, and South China Sea Tensions
Southeast Asia enters late May 2026 under mounting geopolitical and economic pressure. ASEAN faces simultaneous crises involving energy security, Myanmar’s civil war, South China Sea tensions, and growing uncertainty in global trade architecture. Indonesia’s new state-controlled commodity export policy has shaken investor confidence, while the Philippines struggles with an escalating constitutional crisis involving the Duterte…
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ASEAN’s Hormuz Dilemma: Why Southeast Asia’s Energy Dependence Has Become a Strategic Crisis
The 2026 Hormuz crisis has exposed one of Southeast Asia’s most dangerous strategic vulnerabilities: deep dependence on Gulf oil, LNG, and LPG without a credible regional energy security architecture. As maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz collapsed, ASEAN governments faced rising fuel prices, LNG shocks, fiscal pressure, and public anxiety. Yet ASEAN, as an…
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KBA13 Insight Regional Update: Southeast Asia Under Pressure (Hormuz Shock, ASEAN Crisis, Myanmar, Indonesia, and the South China Sea in 2026)
Southeast Asia enters May 2026 under simultaneous strategic pressure: the Hormuz energy shock, ASEAN’s institutional fragility, Myanmar’s deepening crisis, the Philippines’ domestic political rupture, Indonesia’s multi-alignment gamble, and the unresolved confrontation in the South China Sea. This KBA13 Insight Update reads the region not as a collection of separate national crises, but as a single…
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The Beijing Variable: A Geopolitical Analysis of US-China Relations After the Trump-Xi Summit, May 2026
The May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing was not merely a diplomatic encounter. It was a strategic test of power, leverage, and necessity between the world’s two most consequential states. Behind the ceremonial warmth lay unresolved tensions over Taiwan, Iran, energy security, trade, technology, Russia, Japan, Europe, and the future of global order. This essay…
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Militer dalam Demokrasi Rapuh, Pakta Saudi–Pakistan, dan Tiga Sumbu Baru Persaingan Global | KBA13 Insight
Geopolitik global sedang memasuki babak baru. Peran militer kian ambivalen dalam demokrasi yang melemah, sementara pakta pertahanan Saudi–Pakistan mengubah kalkulasi keamanan regional dengan ambiguitas payung nuklir. Di saat yang sama, transisi energi, stok bahan baku kritis, dan perdagangan digital menjadi tiga sumbu baru persaingan global. Analisis KBA13 Insight ini membongkar dinamika deterensi, aliansi strategis, serta…